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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | Severe weather possible on Thursday in the Mid-Atlantic region with the next significant rain event as powerful low pressure system heads east

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Partly sunny, very warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms late in the day, highs in the upper 80’s

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, chance for showers and thunderstorms, lows in the upper 60’s

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, very warm, humid, occasional rain and possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms, some of the rain will be heavy and any storm can produce damaging winds, hail and possibly even an isolated tornado, mid-to-upper 80’s

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy, breezy, evening showers and thunderstorms likely, turning cooler late, upper 50’s by morning

Friday

Partly sunny, breezy, a bit cooler, a couple of showers possible, upper 70’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, pleasantly warm, near 80

Sunday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers at the end of the day or at night, mid 80’s

Monday

Mostly cloudy, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

A wild weather day is in store for the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday with heavy downpours likely and also the threat for strong-to-severe thunderstorms. Any storm that does form on Thursday can contain damaging wind gusts, hail, torrential rainfall, and even an isolated tornado is possible as multiple atmospheric ingredients will come together to create an active weather situation.

To begin with, an unusually strong and intensifying low pressure system will reach Pennsylvania tomorrow after heading eastward today across the Midwest and Ohio Valley. This storm will reach the Mid-Atlantic coast late tomorrow night and turn into a nor'easter type of storm for places like Long Island and New England generating heavy rainfall and strong winds with potential power outages up there. In addition to the strong and intensifying system at the surface on Thursday, the upper atmosphere will add fuel to the fire as there will be strong winds at multiple levels contributing to the unstable environment. Rain may actually begin later this evening and there can be a rumble of thunder or two in the overnight hours, but the main action will likely occur tomorrow into early tomorrow night. This still-developing system is likely to cause some severe weather activity today across the Midwest and Ohio Valley as it begins its trek to the east. The strong nor'easter will head northeast on Friday along the New England coastline and we'll experience some clearing here in the Mid-Atlantic region, but residual showers cannot be ruled out. Saturday promises to be a nice day as high pressure builds into the region, but clouds will increase on Sunday as another system heads our way in this active weather pattern.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/XWAWOnnrRAU