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Weather forecasting, detailed analysis and climate information

7:00 AM | *Heavy rain and severe thunderstorm threat actually increases for later today and early tonight*

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly cloudy, very warm, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain will be heavy and any storm can be strong-to-severe, highs in the upper 80’s

Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain will be heavy and any storm can be strong-to-severe; otherwise, remaining mostly cloudy in the overnight hours, muggy, mild, lows in the low 70’s

Friday

Mostly cloudy, very warm, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, mid-to-upper 80’s

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy, muggy, mild, showers and thunderstorms likely, near 70

Saturday

Partly sunny, warm, humid, scattered showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Sunday

Mostly cloudy, warm, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, low-to-mid 80’s

Monday

Mostly cloudy, warm, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, low-to-mid 80’s

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy, warm, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

While the past few days have featured numerous heavy showers and strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region, the chances for this type of weather actually increase later today and early tonight as an upper level disturbance approaches the area. Once the upper level low reaches the eastern Great Lakes region by early Friday, it will remain rather stationary and from that location it will combine with a stationary (Bermuda) high pressure system off the east coast to continuously pump moist air into the eastern states from the Gulf of Mexico for days and days to come. Flash flooding is likely to become an increasing concern in the Mid-Atlantic region given today's expected heavy rainfall and the potential for substantially more rain over the next week or so. June has been an excessively wet month so far and we'll add significantly to that between now and the end of the month (Sunday) and then July will begin on a wet note as well. Typically, wet months at this time of year are followed by wet months which is why a common phrase among meteorologists is "wet begets wet".

Video

httpv://youtu.be/ynHwp0LR2NY