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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | **Heavy rain threat from later today into early Friday from combination of front and tropical moisture**

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, hot, humid, showers and thunderstorms possible late, some of the rain can be heavy at times, highs in the mid 90’s

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, muggy, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain can be heavy at times, lows in the mid 70’s

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, not quite as hot, still humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain can be heavy at times, near 90

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy, mild, muggy, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain can be heavy at times, near 70

Friday

Early clouds and possible showers then becoming partly sunny, windy, cooler, low 80's

Saturday

Mostly sunny, pleasant, low 80's

Sunday

Mostly sunny, nice, mid 80’s

Monday

Mostly sunny, warm, upper 80’s

Discussion

The combination of a tropical system along the east coast and a slow-moving strong cold frontal system approaching from the west will lead to occasional heavy downpours in the I-95 corridor from later today into early Friday. A weak tropical disturbance intensified on Tuesday reaching tropical storm status (now named Arthur) and it could very well reach hurricane status upon reaching the Outer Banks of North Carolina later Thursday into early Friday - perhaps even to category 2. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity around here later today and continue off and on during Thursday and Thursday night as a frontal system closes in on the east coast at the same time tropical moisture pushes northward along the coast. The combination of the front and tropical moisture will help to generate at least a couple inches of rain around here by the time fireworks shows take place on Friday evening - should be dry weather by then. Given the expected timing and track of Arthur, very nice weather conditions should return here for Saturday and Sunday as a refreshing air mass follows the departure of the tropical system.