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7:00 AM | Best chance in several days for some shower/thunderstorm activity...tropical system to slam Florida and SE U.S. and must be watched here for potential weekend surprise

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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | Best chance in several days for some shower/thunderstorm activity...tropical system to slam Florida and SE U.S. and must be watched here for potential weekend surprise

Paul Dorian

6-Day DC Forecast

Today

Early morning patchy fog then becoming mainly sunny, very warm, humid, highs near 90 degrees

Tonight

Good chance of showers and thunderstorms; otherwise, mostly cloudy skies, mild, upper 60’s

Thursday

Mainly cloudy, not as warm, still the chance of showers and thunderstorms, near 80 degrees

Thursday Night

Chance for a shower or thunderstorm early then becoming partly cloudy, cooler, low 60’s

Friday

Mainly sunny, nice, near 80 degrees

Saturday

Mainly sunny, pleasant, near 80 degrees

Sunday

Mainly sunny, still nice, low 80’s

Monday

Mainly sunny, comfortable, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

A strong cold front will approach us from the northwest later today and it’ll give us the best chance in several days for shower and thunderstorm activity tonight and Thursday and some of the rain could be heavy at times. After that, strong high pressure will push in for the late week and weekend with a very comfortable air mass for this time of year. The Labor Day weekend could turn out to be quite nice; however, there is one "fly-in-the-ointment" and that is the tropical system over the Gulf of Mexico. This system will slam into Florida on Thursday - likely as their first hurricane since October 2005 - and then head northeast along the SE US coastline reaching the eastern part of North Carolina by early Saturday. After that, there is an outside chance that strong high pressure to our north prevents this storm from "escaping" into the open Atlantic and all eyes in the Northeast US will have to monitor this closely; especially, along the New England coastline. At a minimum, one can expect rough surf all along the coastline this weekend from all of this tropical activity. Stay tuned.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian

Vencore, Inc.

vencoreweather.com