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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: PHL

7:00 AM | *Widespread rain event for the Mid-Atlantic Thursday night and Friday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will build into the area today and it’ll stay below-normal with temperatures generally confined to the 30’s for highs. The winds will continue to be quite strong this morning, but will tend to diminish later in the day and even further in the overnight hours. Moisture will spread northeastward on Thursday from the southern states and we’ll experience yet another soaking rain event from later Thursday through Friday. Colder air will pour into the region on Saturday following the rain storm and winds will be quite strong out of the northwest as we begin the weekend. One final note, skies should be favorable tonight for the viewing of the green "Christmas comet".

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7:00 AM | *Yet another widespread rain event coming our way later for Thursday night and Friday*

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front is passing through the region today and winds will pick up in intensity as the day progresses from a northwesterly direction. It’ll turn colder-than-normal by tonight and the chill will stick around through mid-week. Another widespread rain event is coming here later in the week as milder air pushes northward along the eastern seaboard. The likely timetable for this next rain event is Thursday night and Friday and showers may linger into Saturday. One final note, Comet 46P/Wirtanen made its closest approach to Earth on Sunday and there may be an opportunity to look for it later tonight following many recent cloudy nights...best bet is to look near Pleiades late in the evening.

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11:15 AM | *Complex weekend storm system to bring the Mid-Atlantic region rain initially and then the real chance for a mixing with or changeover to snow and/or sleet*

Paul Dorian

A complex weather pattern is unfolding for the weekend that will feature multiple surface low pressure systems supported all weekend by the volatile combination of a deep and slow-moving wave of upper-level energy. As a result, the threat for precipitation will extend from late today into Sunday night and it is likely to come in two waves. The front end is likely to feature occasional plain rain in the Mid-Atlantic region from late today into early tomorrow night, but the back end forecast becomes a bit trickier for the period from late tomorrow night into Sunday night. Colder air will seep into the Mid-Atlantic region during the second half of the weekend and this could lead to a mix with or a changeover of the rain to snow and/or sleet; especially, in areas to the north and west of the big cities along the I-95 corridor.  Another cold shot will arrive late Monday following the departure of the complex weekend storm and NW winds will become quite strong by Monday night and early Tuesday as Arctic air floods the region.

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7:00 Am | *Rain threat begins late today and continues off and on through the weekend...colder air seeps in late in the weekend and this could result in a mix with or changeover to snow/sleet*

Paul Dorian

A broad area of moisture will push northeastward today from the southern states, but the heaviest rain looks like it will largely be suppressed to our south - at least initially. This unfolding complex pattern will feature two surface low systems - one headed towards the Tennessee Valley and the other to the Mid-Atlantic coastline - and it’ll be supported by a vigorous and a slow-moving wave of energy in the upper part of the atmosphere. During the latter stages of the weekend, colder air will seep into the region from the northwest and there is the chance that rain which should reach us by Saturday night mixes with or changes to snow and/or sleet on Sunday or Sunday night. Once the complex system pulls slowly away from the east coast on Monday, the door will open for another cold shot to arrive and this cold blast will be accompanied by another wave of energy in the upper atmosphere. Consequently, winds should increase noticeably later Monday and Monday night and they’ll continue to be quite strong on Tuesday as well from a northwesterly direction with a couple of snow showers possible.

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7:00 AM | *A few snow and/or rain showers possible today; primarily, across northern suburbs...soaking rain from late tomorrow well into the weekend*

Paul Dorian

A weak system is sliding to our north today and it can generate a few snow and/or rain showers in the region; primarily, focused on the northern suburbs of Bucks and Montgomery Counties with little or no accumulation expected. A stronger system will generate a soaking rain event in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from late tomorrow into Saturday and the rain can actually linger into Sunday as it’ll be a slow mover. On the heels of the weekend storm, another cold shot will arrive on Monday and it will be supported by vigorous energy in the upper atmosphere which could result in strong winds in the Northeast US and scattered snow showers.

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2:15 PM | *Three systems to monitor next 5 days…nuisance snow tomorrow well north of PA/MD border…soaking rain event later Friday/Saturday…strong winds with next cold shot…an early peek at Christmas*

Paul Dorian

There has been a bit of a lull this week in the recent active weather pattern, but that will change in coming days and there are three different systems that bear watching between today and early next week. The first system is likely to produce some nuisance snow in areas primarily well to the north of the Mason-Dixon Line from late tonight into mid-day tomorrow and there can be some slippery road conditions.  The second and stronger system will generate a soaking rain event in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from late Friday into Saturday morning and the rain can linger in late Saturday and even into Sunday as it’ll be a slow mover.  On the heels of the weekend storm, another cold shot will arrive on Monday and it will be supported by vigorous energy in the upper atmosphere which could result in strong winds in the Northeast US and numerous snow showers.

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7:00 AM | *Nuisance snow on Thursday as upper-level disturbance passes overhead...soaking rain Friday night/Saturday morning*

Paul Dorian

High pressure remains in control today and we’ll experience another cold and dry day in the Mid-Atlantic region. An upper-level disturbance will slide across the region on Thursday and it is likely to set off some snow shower activity with a dusting to an inch possible in some spots – perhaps even some slippery roads during the morning commute. A strong low pressure system will develop in the south-central US later in the week and spread moisture into our area by late Friday. Odds favor rain around here during this upcoming event and some of it can be heavy at times on Friday night and Saturday morning.

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7:00 AM | *Cold, dry weather next couple days...weak disturbance on Thursday with possible snow showers...stronger storm impacts the region from late Friday into the weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure has resumed control of our weather and today will be another cold and dry day in the Mid-Atlantic region. A weak disturbance will slide across the region late tomorrow night and early Thursday and it could set off some snow shower activity with a dusting possible in some spots. A strong low pressure system will develop in the south-central US late in the week and spread moisture into our area later Friday and into the upcoming weekend. Odds favor primarily rain around here during this weekend upcoming event and some of it can be heavy at times, but some frozen precipitation cannot be completely ruled out at this time on both the front and back ends of the storm.

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7:00 AM | *Cold, dry pattern next few days...Carolina coastline storm pulls away this morning*

Paul Dorian

Strong low pressure off the North Carolina coastline this morning will push out-to-sea and high pressure will build into the Mid-Atlantic from the central part of the country. As a result, we’ll experience primarily cold and dry weather conditions around here through much of the work week. By the end of the week, moisture will be spreading northeastward from the Gulf of Mexico and we are likely to experience primarily rain from later Friday into the weekend, but it could be a close call for awhile between rain and snow.

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7:00 AM | *Cold, dry weather pattern continues...late weekend storm stays south*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure slammed into southern California yesterday and it will take a southern route over the next few days from Texas to the Carolina coastline and then head slowly "out-to-sea" rather than up the Mid-Atlantic coastline. Given this track, there will likely be little-to-no impact around here in the Philly metro region from the late weekend storm, but we'll continue to monitor it for possible last minute changes. Heavy rain will fall across the Deep South and heavy snow is likely along and just to the north of Route I-40 from Oklahoma to interior North Carolina/southern Virginia. The heaviest snowfall may, in fact, end up occurring in the higher elevation locations of western North Carolina where 1-2 feet could ultimately accumulate over the upcoming weekend. Looking ahead, signs point to a major storm to deal with at the end of next week and following weekend in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US likely with rain or perhaps some combination of rain and snow.

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