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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | *What a difference a day makes!*

Paul Dorian

A major change in temperatures today with a drop in the highs by more than 30 degrees following the overnight passage of a strong cold frontal system. High temperatures on Thursday made it into the middle 70’s, but will be confined to the lower 40’s this afternoon despite plenty of sunshine. It’ll stay quite chilly as we begin the weekend, but turn somewhat milder early next week and the chance of showers will be on the rise.

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7:00 AM | **Two waves to watch for early next week...some snow likely Sunday night/early Monday...snow, ice, rain Monday night/Tuesday**

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern looks quite active in coming days with multiple waves likely to trek across the country. One wave will arrive in California by the early part of the weekend and then reach the Great Lakes region by Sunday evening. This system will spread snow into the Ohio Valley by later Sunday and then snow could break out here in the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday night and continue into early Monday. A second and stronger wave will follow quickly and it could bring substantial amounts of precipitation here on Tuesday – perhaps a snow-to-ice-to-rain scenario.

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7:00 AM | String of days in the 70's to continue right into next week

Paul Dorian

Warm air will stick around through the weekend and into the early part of next week as high pressure dominates across the Southeast US. A weak frontal system will move across Florida this weekend and it’ll contribute to a tightening pressure gradient which will result in a noticeable increase in winds. Temperatures will not drop much at all behind the weekend frontal passage and generally remain in the comfortably warm 70’s for highs right through the early part of next week.

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12:30 PM | *An active pattern is shaping up with multiple storm threats and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) suggests an extended stretch of colder-than-normal weather as well*

Paul Dorian

This week has been featured some unseasonably mild weather in the Mid-Atlantic region, but a strong cold frontal passage on Friday will usher in a much colder air mass for the weekend and there are reasons to believe that we may be entering an extended cold and stormy stretch of weather.  A tropical disturbance known as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is forecasted to enter into “phases” that argue for colder-than-normal conditions in much the eastern US for an extended period of time.  In addition, the overall pattern is shaping up to be quite active with numerous systems likely to cross the country in coming days and threaten this region with lots of wintry precipitation.

 

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Tuesday, Feb 5, 2019, 1:00 PM | *Major ice event in the offing for much of Michigan from late tonight into early Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

A major ice event is in the offing for Auburn Hills, MI which could result in a dangerous Wednesday morning commute.  High pressure over central Canada is drifting to the east today and is a source of low-level cold air which will play a major role in potential icing late tonight and early Wednesday as moisture arrives in the region.  A southern stream of energy will ride along a temperature boundary zone on Wednesday and stay just south of the Michigan state line allowing for the low-level cold air to stand its ground.  Warm and moist air from the south will ride up and over the entrenched cold air mass at the surface and the bulk of the precipitation from this system will fall as freezing rain in a 6-hour period from around 3AM to 9AM. 

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7:00 AM | *Warm pattern to continue through the weekend*

Paul Dorian

Warm air will stick around for the rest of the week and large high pressure will continue to result in copious amounts of sunshine for the region. A weak frontal system will move across Florida this weekend and it’ll contribute to a tightening pressure gradient which will result in a noticeable increase in winds. Temperatures will not drop much at all behind the weekend frontal passage and generally remain in the comfortably warm 70’s for highs right into the early part of next week.

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7:00 AM | *Major change in temperatures with nighttime passage of strong cold front*

Paul Dorian

Temperatures will remain well above-normal for another day, but there will be a major change in the overnight hours. Temperatures could actually make it all the way into the upper 70’s later today, but a strong cold front will arrive in the overnight hours and send temperatures plunging across the Tennessee Valley. It’ll stay quite chilly as we begin the weekend, but turn somewhat milder early next week and the chance of showers will be on the rise.

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7:00 AM | *A cold and dry weekend shaping up...multiple storm threats next week*

Paul Dorian

Today will be another damp day in the Mid-Atlantic region with an occasional shower or some patchy drizzle that’ll continue into the overnight hours as a strong cold front approaches from the west. That front will slide through early tomorrow and usher in a much colder air mass for the upcoming weekend. Winds will kick up tomorrow afternoon behind the frontal passage and temperatures will begin to slide. Both weekend days will feature afternoon temperatures primarily in the 30’s despite some sunshine each day. Looking ahead, next week looks quite active with multiple threats and plenty of cold air around. A wave of low pressure may generate some snow or snow showers on Sunday night and/or Monday and then another system may impact the region with snow or rain by Tuesday...stay tuned.

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7:00 AM | *Setting up for a cold, but dry weekend...multiple storm threats next week*

Paul Dorian

Today will be another damp day in the Mid-Atlantic region with an occasional shower or some patchy drizzle that’ll continue into the overnight hours as a strong cold front approaches from the west. That front will slide through early tomorrow and usher in a much colder air mass for the upcoming weekend. Winds will kick up tomorrow afternoon behind the frontal passage and temperatures will begin to slide. Both weekend days will feature afternoon temperatures primarily in the 30’s despite some sunshine each day. Looking ahead, next week looks quite active with multiple threats and plenty of cold air around. A wave of low pressure may generate some snow or snow showers on Sunday night and/or Monday and then another system may impact the region with snow or rain by Tuesday...stay tuned.

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7:00 AM | *A cold and dry weekend setting up...multiple storm threats next week*

Paul Dorian

Today will be another damp day in the Mid-Atlantic region with an occasional shower or some patchy drizzle that’ll continue into the overnight hours as a strong cold front approaches from the west. That front will slide through early tomorrow and usher in a much colder air mass for the upcoming weekend. Winds will kick up tomorrow afternoon behind the frontal passage and temperatures will begin to slide. Both weekend days will feature afternoon temperatures primarily in the 30’s despite some sunshine each day. Looking ahead, next week looks quite active with multiple threats and plenty of cold air around. A wave of low pressure may generate some snow or snow showers on Sunday night and/or Monday and then another system may impact the region with snow or rain by Tuesday...stay tuned.

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