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Blog

Weather forecasting, detailed weather analysis and climate information

Filtering by Category: KSC

7:00 AM | *Stuck with southwest flow between an unfolding trough over the Midwest and the western Atlantic ridge*

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern for the next few days will feature persistent upper-level troughing in the eastern US and ridging over the western Atlantic. The end result of this combination will keep a SW flow of air around here which will continue our daily threat of showers and thunderstorms and high temperatures right near the 90 degree mark. Meanwhile, there is a relatively quiet look to the Atlantic Basin tropical scene at this time.

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7:00 AM | A good shot at some more decent rainfall next few days

Paul Dorian

There will be a change to the overall weather pattern this week with the breaking down of the upper-level ridge of high pressure that has dominated the scene in the Southeast US in recent days. A strong cool front and its associated upper-level trough will drop southeastward over the next 24 hours from the Great Lakes and towards the Northeast US bringing us an enhanced chance of showers and storms from later today into mid week.

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7:00 AM | Much the same with highs near 90 degrees and mainly inland showers/storms

Paul Dorian

The main players on the Florida weather scene as we head into the weekend will be the subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic and a weakening frontal system moving into the Southeast US. This combination will allow for sea breeze boundaries to form and push inland each day through the weekend. The result will be a better chance for showers and thunderstorms at inland locations during the late afternoon/early evening hours.

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7:00 AM | Western Atlantic ridge in control

Paul Dorian

Remnants of Beryl continue to lift northward in the western Atlantic well to the east of Florida and Hurricane Chris has raced far away from the east coast towards the open northern Atlantic Ocean. A ridge of high pressure will build westward across Florida from the western Atlantic over the next couple of days and continue our very warm and humid conditions around here.

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7:00 AM | Tropical disturbances to monitor next several days

Paul Dorian

An upper-level low and broad trough of low pressure will continue their westward trek today along the Gulf Coast and this will continue to generate some instability in central Florida. As a result, additional showers and thunderstorms are possible later today and any storm that forms can be on the strong-to-severe side with heavy rain and gusty winds. There are other disturbances to track over the next several days in the Atlantic Basin as a relatively favorable pattern for tropical activity continues into next week.

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7:00 AM | *Threat for strong-to-severe thunderstorms as upper low tracks westward along the Gulf Coast*

Paul Dorian

An upper-level low and broad trough of low pressure will continue their westward trek today along the Gulf Coast and this will generate significant instability in the area. As a result, showers and thunderstorms are quite likely to form later today and tonight on a widespread basis and any storm that forms can be on the strong-to-severe side with heavy rain and gusty winds. This same threat will continue on Friday across central Florida and it’ll stay very warm and humid this weekend with a continuation of the threat for showers and thunderstorms.

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7:00 AM | *Tropical disturbances to monitor next few days*

Paul Dorian

Abnormally strong upper-level ridging continues to dominate the scene over the northern US and this will continue to contribute to very warm and humid conditions around here. Whenever abnormally strong high pressure ridging sets up in a position over the northern US this time of year, one has to monitor the tropical region near the Bahamas, Florida and the Gulf of Mexico. With strong high pressure situated to the north, there tends to be low-level convergence in this particular part of the Atlantic Basin tropical region and the flow of air would likely push westward any tropical system that may actually form. Stay tuned.

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