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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

11:55 AM | **Energetic atmosphere this afternoon/evening to bring rain and/or snow showers, strong wind gusts, and perhaps a thunderstorm with small hail**

Paul Dorian

While low pressure is pulling off to the northeast at this hour along the New England coastline, a strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere is dropping southeast over the Great Lakes and it will make it quite volatile here in the Mid-Atlantic region later this afternoon and evening.  The combination of the intensifying and departing low pressure system and the strong approaching upper-level feature will help to produce wind gusts here to 40 mph or so this afternoon and evening, numerous rain and/or snow showers, and perhaps a few isolated thunderstorms which can generate small hail.  Windy and cold conditions will stick around later tonight and through the day on Saturday, but noticeably milder and calmer weather is coming for Sunday.

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7:00 AM | *A nice way to end the work week*

Paul Dorian

A ridge of high pressure will build into the region today and it’ll turn slightly milder and a relatively nice weekend is in store for the Tennessee Valley. The early-to-middle part of next week will become more unsettled around here as a deep upper-level low will drift eastward from the middle of the nation and into the Tennessee Valley.

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7:00 AM | **An unstable day with intensifying winds and possible PM rain and/or snow showers**

Paul Dorian

Intensifying low pressure is headed towards northern New England this morning from around Long Island, but that won’t be the end of the threat for precipitation in the Mid-Atlantic region. An Arctic frontal system supported by a strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere will slam into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US later today and this will result in wind gusts of 40 mph and possible PM rain and/or snow showers, maybe even an isolated thunderstorm. Any thunderstorm that does form later today could produce small hail as freezing levels will be quite low in the lower atmosphere. The wind and cold will stick around during the first part of the weekend, but it’ll turn noticeably milder and calmer on Sunday with mid-to-upper 50’s likely for afternoon highs. Looking ahead, the weather is looking pretty favorable for the Yankees home opener next Thursday afternoon with some sunshine expected and temperatures likely in the 50's.

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7:00 AM | **An unstable day with strong wind gusts and possible PM rain showers...maybe even an isolated thunderstorm**

Paul Dorian

Intensifying low pressure is headed towards northern New England this morning from around Long Island, but that won’t be the end of the threat for precipitation in the Mid-Atlantic region. An Arctic frontal system supported by a strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere will slam into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US later today and this will result in wind gusts of 40+ mph and possible PM rain showers, maybe even an isolated thunderstorm. Any thunderstorm that does form later today could produce small hail as freezing levels will be quite low in the lower atmosphere. The wind and cold will stick around during the first part of the weekend, but it’ll turn noticeably milder and calmer on Sunday with upper 50’s likely for afternoon highs. Looking ahead, the weather is looking pretty favorable for the Nationals home opener next Thursday afternoon with some sunshine expected and temperatures likely near 60 degrees.

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7:00 AM | **An unstable day with increasing winds and possible PM rain and/or snow showers...thunderstorm cannot be ruled out**

Paul Dorian

Intensifying low pressure is headed towards northern New England this morning from around Long Island, but that won’t be the end of the threat for precipitation in the Mid-Atlantic region. An Arctic frontal system supported by a strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere will slam into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US later today and this will result in wind gusts of 40+ mph and possible PM rain and/or snow showers, maybe even an isolated thunderstorm. Any thunderstorm that does form later today could produce small hail as freezing levels will be quite low in the lower atmosphere. The wind and cold will stick around during the first part of the weekend, but it’ll turn noticeably milder and calmer on Sunday with mid 50’s likely for afternoon highs. Looking ahead, the weather is looking pretty favorable for the Phillies home opener next Thursday afternoon with some sunshine expected and temperatures likely in the 50's.

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10:15 AM | **Heavy rain event for the Mid-Atlantic with 2+ inches on the table…very unstable on Friday with wind gusts to 40 mph and numerous snow and/or rain showers**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will intensify rapidly along the eastern seaboard over the next 24-36 hours resulting in a heavy rain event from today into early Friday in the Mid-Atlantic region.  Rainfall amounts of more than two inches are possible by late tonight and flash flood watches have been posted in a large area given the saturated grounds.  In the higher elevation interior sections from western Virginia/West Virginia/southwestern Pennsylvania to northern New England significant snow is likely to occur during this event as colder air will wrap into the system later today and tonight. 

By later tomorrow, the strong low pressure system will be near the southern part of Maine, but that won’t be the end of the story for the Mid-Atlantic region in terms of inclement weather.  An Arctic cold blast supported by a strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere will slam into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US later tomorrow and this will result in wind gusts of 40 mph or so and numerous snow and/or rain showers.  The wind and cold will stick around during the first part of the weekend in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor, but it’ll turn noticeably milder and calmer on Sunday with 60 degrees possible in DC and upper 50’s in Philly and NYC. 

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7:00 AM | **A soaking rain event today and tonight...windy, cold on Friday with snow/rain showers likely**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will intensify along the Mid-Atlantic coastline today and lead to a heavy rain event in the Mid-Atlantic region with 2 inches on the table around here. It’ll stay on the chilly side today and tonight as bands of heavy rain swirl around the intensifying low pressure system. By tonight, the steadier rain will evolve into a showery pattern and the winds will pick up in intensity. There is the potential for coastal flooding at high tide later this evening given the combination of the heavy rain and coincident full moon. A blast of Arctic air will arrive on Friday and this cold air outbreak will be accompanied by a strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere. As a result, tomorrow is likely to be quite unstable with windy and cold conditions along with the likelihood of snow and/or rain showers in the Mid-Atlantic region. The cold and wind will stick around as we begin the weekend, but it’ll turn noticeably milder and calmer on Sunday to go along with plenty of sunshine.

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7:00 AM | **A heavy rain event continues into tonight...windy, chilly on Friday with rain and/or snow showers possible**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will intensify along the Mid-Atlantic coastline today and lead to a heavy rain event in the Mid-Atlantic region with 2+ inches on the table around here. It’ll stay on the chilly side today and tonight as bands of heavy rain swirl around the intensifying low pressure system. By tonight, the steadier rain will evolve into a showery pattern and the winds will pick up in intensity. A blast of Arctic air will arrive on Friday in the Northeast US and this cold air outbreak will be accompanied by a strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere. As a result, tomorrow is likely to be quite unstable with windy and cold conditions along with the likelihood of snow and/or rain showers in the Mid-Atlantic region. The cold and wind will stick around as we begin the weekend, but it’ll turn noticeably milder and calmer on Sunday to go along with plenty of sunshine.

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