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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | *Excessive heat to continue through the first half of the week then some relief*

Paul Dorian

An upper-level trough has set up near the east coast and high pressure ridging is the dominate feature across the north-central US as we begin the new work week. The Tennessee Valley is sandwiched somewhat in between these two systems and it looks like it’ll stay very hot through mid-week. Some relief will arrive later in the week and highs will become closer to the 90 degree mark. Meanwhile, the tropical scene remains quite active in the Atlantic Basin with the system near the Bahamas late last week now a hurricane (Humberto) and it is likely to push away from the US east coast in coming days.

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7:00 AM | *Humberto now a hurricane to slowly push away from the east coast...could reach "major" hurricane status*

Paul Dorian

The tropical system located over the Bahamas late last week has reached hurricane status (named Humberto) and it is likely to push slowly away from the US east coast in coming days. Isolated showers on the periphery of Hurricane Humberto will move south and southeast along coastal sections during the morning and mid-day hours. Another tropical system in the Atlantic is moving on a NW track and this should bring it to the northeast of the Caribbean Sea in several days with some intensification quite likely.

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7:00 AM | *Looks like a nice week in the Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

Much of the week will be rain-free in the Mid-Atlantic region as high pressure to the north dominates the weather scene. We’ll start off quite warm for today with highs near 80 degrees, but it’ll become more comfortable for the next few days as the high builds to our north. On the tropical scene, the system near the Bahamas last week has strengthened into a hurricane (Humberto) and it is likely to move on a track away from the US east coast. Another system in the Atlantic is likely to slowly intensify over the next few days as it continues on a track to the NW and probably to the northeast of the Caribbean Sea.

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7:00 AM | *Looks like a nice week in the Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

Much of the week will be rain-free in the Mid-Atlantic region as high pressure to the north dominates the weather scene. We’ll start off quite warm for today with highs in the upper 80’s, but it’ll become more comfortable for the next few days as the high builds to our north. On the tropical scene, the system near the Bahamas last week has strengthened into a hurricane (Humberto) and it is likely to move on a track away from the US east coast. Another system in the Atlantic is likely to slowly intensify over the next few days as it continues on a track to the NW and probably to the northeast of the Caribbean Sea.

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7:00 AM | *Looks like a nice week in the Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

Much of the week will be rain-free in the Mid-Atlantic region as high pressure to the north dominates the weather scene. We’ll start off quite warm for today with highs in the 80’s, but it’ll become more comfortable for the next few days as the high builds to our north. On the tropical scene, the system near the Bahamas last week has strengthened into a hurricane (Humberto) and it is likely to move on a track away from the US east coast. Another system in the Atlantic is likely to slowly intensify over the next few days as it continues on a track to the NW and probably to the northeast of the Caribbean Sea.

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11:55 AM (Friday) | *Another slow moving tropical system to impact the Bahamas and Florida*

Paul Dorian

Here we go again…another slow moving tropical system will impact the Bahamas and Florida over the next couple of days in what is a very active looking tropical scene.  There are numerous systems of interest right now across the Atlantic Basin which is not too unusual given the time of year which is the climatological peak period of the tropical season.  In addition to the system over the Bahamas, there is a batch of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico that may organize in coming days and two other disturbances in the eastern Atlantic.  Furthermore, multiple systems over the continent of Africa – the breeding grounds for the Atlantic Basin – assure us that it’ll remain active as we progress through the month of September.  

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7:00 AM | *Much cooler today following frontal passage...an active tropical scene*

Paul Dorian

A cool front passed through the area last night and strong high pressure to our north will take control of the weather today and help to keep temperatures confined to much cooler levels in the lower 70's for afternoon highs. It’ll turn warmer on Saturday as the front turns around and moves north as a warm front and there can be some shower and thunderstorm activity as a result. High pressure will then build back into the region and Sunday and much of next week looks rain-free with high pressure in control. Meanwhile, the tropical scene remains quite active today with multiple systems to monitor. One system over the Bahamas this morning is likely to strengthen as it heads slowly towards Florida over the next couple of days and a batch of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico may organize as it moves westward. In addition, two tropical waves now exist in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and the front running system will likely push into the eastern Caribbean Sea in several days and will have to be closely watched.

One final note, this happens to be Friday the 13th and only about 1% of full moons fall on a Friday the 13th. This one is even rarer as it is occurring near apogee, the farthest point in the moon's orbit. This hasn't happened since 1832 and won't happen again for more than 500 years.

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7:00 AM | *Excessive heat wanes after today...an active tropical scene*

Paul Dorian

The excessive heat will continue for another day here in northern Alabama with afternoon high temperatures likely to reach the mid-to-upper 90’s. Temperatures will edge downward over the next couple of days with highs this weekend generally closer to the 90 degree mark. Meanwhile, the tropical scene remains quite active. One system near The Atlantic Basin tropical scene remains quite active today with multiple systems to monitor. One system over the Bahamas this morning is likely to strengthen as it heads slowly towards Florida over the next couple of days and a batch of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico may organize as it moves westward. In addition, two tropical waves now exist in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and the front running system will likely push into the eastern Caribbean Sea in several days and will have to be closely watched.

One final note, this happens to be Friday the 13th and only about 1% of full moons fall on a Friday the 13th. This one is even rarer as it is occurring near apogee, the farthest point in the moon's orbit. This hasn't happened since 1832 and won't happen again for more than 500 years.

Read More

7:00 AM | *Much cooler today following frontal passage...an active tropical scene*

Paul Dorian

A cool front passed through the area last night and strong high pressure to our north will take control of the weather today and help to keep temperatures confined to much cooler levels in the lower 70's for afternoon highs. It’ll turn warmer on Saturday as the front turns around and moves north as a warm front and there can be some shower and thunderstorm activity as a result. High pressure will then build back into the region and Sunday and much of next week looks rain-free with high pressure in control. Meanwhile, the tropical scene remains quite active today with multiple systems to monitor. One system over the Bahamas this morning is likely to strengthen as it heads slowly towards Florida over the next couple of days and a batch of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico may organize as it moves westward. In addition, two tropical waves now exist in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and the front running system will likely push into the eastern Caribbean Sea in several days and will have to be closely watched.

One final note, this happens to be Friday the 13th and only about 1% of full moons fall on a Friday the 13th. This one is even rarer as it is occurring near apogee, the farthest point in the moon's orbit. This hasn't happened since 1832 and won't happen again for more than 500 years.

Read More

7:00 AM | *Much cooler today following frontal passage...an active tropical scene*

Paul Dorian

A cool front passed through the area last night and strong high pressure to our north will take control of the weather today and help to keep temperatures confined to much cooler levels near 70 degrees for afternoon highs. It’ll turn warmer on Saturday as the front turns around and moves north as a warm front and there can be some shower and thunderstorm activity as a result. High pressure will then build back into the region and Sunday and much of next week looks rain-free with high pressure in control. Meanwhile, the tropical scene remains quite active today with multiple systems to monitor. One system over the Bahamas this morning is likely to strengthen as it heads slowly towards Florida over the next couple of days and a batch of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico may organize as it moves westward. In addition, two tropical waves now exist in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and the front running system will likely push into the eastern Caribbean Sea in several days and will have to be closely watched.

One final note, this happens to be Friday the 13th and only about 1% of full moons fall on a Friday the 13th. This one is even rarer as it is occurring near apogee, the farthest point in the moon's orbit. This hasn't happened since 1832 and won't happen again for more than 500 years.

Read More