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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

7:00 AM | *Much more comfortable temperatures in the Tennessee Valley and the rest of the work week looks pretty decent for late July*

Paul Dorian

An upper-level trough of low pressure in the eastern US has brought cooler conditions to the eastern third of the nation compared to the recent hot stretch. High pressure at the surface will keep us rain-free for the middle and latter parts of the week. Elsewhere, tropical depression 3 has formed off of Florida and is likely to stay out over the western Atlantic over the next few days.

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7:00 AM | *More reasonable temperatures this week*

Paul Dorian

The recent hot weather will continue to transition to below-normal temperatures today in the Tennessee Valley and the adjustment will lead to more showers and thunderstorms as a cold front reaches the Ohio Valley. Following the frontal passage, highs on Tuesday will likely be confined to the low-to-mid 80’s which is actually below-normal for late July and some 10 degrees cooler than the heat of the early weekend. The much more reasonable weather pattern in terms of temperatures will likely last through the remainder of the month of July in the Tennessee Valley.

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7:00 AM | *Good chance of more widespread showers and storms for the second half of the week*

Paul Dorian

A trough of low pressure will develop aloft early this week in the eastern US and it could lead to more widespread rainfall across the Florida Peninsula by the middle and latter parts of the week. This trough will tend to displace the Bermuda High which has been the dominant player around here in recent days. The tropics may take on a more active look incoming days over the Gulf of Mexico and/or western part of the Atlantic Ocean – we’ll continue to monitor it closely.

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7:00 AM | **Major heat wave next few days from the nation's midsection to the east coast**

Paul Dorian

A true summer heat wave will take place over the next few days from the middle of the nation to the east coast. Temperatures here will soar today well up into the 90’s and we’ll climb into the 90’s this weekend as well. The good news is that there will be relief from the heat and humidity by the middle of next week and highs will be confined to the 80’s once again next Tuesday and Wednesday and the longer-term temperature pattern looks pretty reasonable for the remainder of the month of July. In terms of rainfall, there can be scattered showers and thunderstorms over the next couple of days and then an even greater chance of showers and thunderstorms will occur on Sunday and Monday as a strong cool front moves here from the Upper Midwest.

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7:00 AM | *Excessive heat and humidity next few days, but big pattern change to bring relief next week*

Paul Dorian

The big story in much of the eastern half of the nation for the next few days will be the excessive heat and humidity. Locally, temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 90’s for afternoon highs over the next few days and the moist environment can lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Looking ahead to next week, a big change in the overall pattern will take place with an upper-level trough of low pressure setting up across the eastern US and this will lead to more reasonable temperatures for the remainder of July.

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7:00 AM | *Heavy rainfall threat next couple days will give way to excessive heat and humidity**

Paul Dorian

A moist atmosphere set up by the remains of Barry will likely result in showers and thunderstorms for the region today and tomorrow and some of the rain will be heavy at times. After this moisture field pushes away, excessive heat and humidity will become the big weather story for the latter part of the week and weekend. In fact, after a flirt with the 90 degrees mark for highs over the next couple of days, temperatures are likely to climb to the low-to-mid 90’s on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

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7:00 AM | *Excessive heat by the weekend with highs in the mid 90's on Friday, Saturday, Sunday**

Paul Dorian

A moist atmosphere set up by the remains of Barry will again likely result in showers and thunderstorms for the region today and tomorrow and then the excessive heat will be the big story for the latter part of the week and weekend. In fact, after a flirt with the 90 degrees mark for highs over the next couple of days, temperatures are likely to climb to the mid 90’s on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

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7:00 AM | *Lots of moisture remains in the region...heat really dominates the weather story later in the week*

Paul Dorian

A very moist atmosphere set up by the remains of Barry will again likely result in showers and thunderstorms for the region today and Tuesday and then the heat will be the big story for the latter part of the week. In fact, after a flirt with the 90 degrees mark for highs during the first half of the week, temperatures are likely to climb to the mid 90’s by Friday and Saturday.

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7:00 AM | *Weekend hurricane threat centered on Louisiana*

Paul Dorian

A tropical system over the Gulf of Mexico has intensified into tropical storm status (named Barry) and it could reach hurricane status by later tonight or early tomorrow. This system is slowly drifting towards the Louisiana coastline and could make landfall in the south-central part of the state by early Saturday as a cat 1 hurricane or a strong tropical storm. With the building ridge of high pressure to the northwest, this system will remain a slow mover and this will only exacerbate the flooding potential. The Mississippi River which flows into the Gulf of Mexico is already running at high levels as a result of heavy snow melt and flooding rains this spring season.

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11:20 AM | *Gulf hurricane threat continues with possible Louisiana landfall by the early weekend…strong-to-severe thunderstorm threat this afternoon and tonight in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US*

Paul Dorian

A broad area of low pressure is drifting westward this morning over the Gulf of Mexico and there is not yet a well-defined center of circulation.  As atmospheric conditions become more favorable and the system moves over warmer-than-normal water, intensification will become more likely and tropical storm status could be attained by later tonight or early tomorrow and perhaps (weak) hurricane status can be reached by later tomorrow night.  A turn to the northwest by the early part of the weekend could bring this tropical system into central Louisiana and it’ll likely remain a relatively slow-mover raising the chances for substantial amounts of rainfall across southern Louisiana and parts of Mississippi as well over the next few days.  Elsewhere, there is a threat this afternoon and tonight in the I-95 corridor for strong-to-severe thunderstorms – any one of these storms can bring heavy downpours to an already-soaked part of the country.

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