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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

11:20 AM | ****The first significant winter storm of the season and there will be bursts of heavy precipitation****

Paul Dorian

The first significant winter storm of the season has arrived in the Mid-Atlantic region as low pressure begins to intensify along the Carolina coastline.  Snow accumulations of a couple of inches have been already reported in some suburban areas of Washington, D.C. – their first measureable November snow since 1996 – and the snow has now begun in the Philly metro region and is on its way to NYC. A wintry mix of precipitation can be expected in many areas during the afternoon hours as surface temperatures have trouble rising above the freezing mark.  This is a very energetic storm system and there will be bursts of heavy precipitation into early Friday morning which can result in a quick changeover from sleet/freezing rain-to-snow and quick accumulations.

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7:00 AM | ***Coastal storm to bring us the first significant wintry precipitation event of the season***

Paul Dorian

The first significant winter weather event of the season for the NYC metro region will get underway early this afternoon as low pressure heads towards the east coast and intensifies. This unfolding coastal storm will end up impacting the region from this afternoon into early tomorrow as it takes on a “double-barrel low” type of structure. Snow and/or ice will continue through the afternoon hours and into the evening with accumulations on the order of a coating to an inch or two in NYC with 2-5 inches possible in the northern and western suburbs. The precipitation could slacken off or stop completely for awhile early tonight, but then a powerful upper-level low will likely result in a resumption later tonight. In fact, the passage overhead of the upper-level low could result in some interesting weather including gusty winds, a rumble of thunder, and perhaps a burst of heavier precipitation. More significant snow will fall from this unfolding coastal storm across interior, higher elevation locations of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US.

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11:10 AM | ***First significant winter weather event of the season is on the way***

Paul Dorian

The first significant winter weather event of the season is on the way for much of the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US. Low pressure will intensify along the Mid-Atlantic coastline on Thursday and impact the region from early tomorrow into early Friday. Accumulations of snow and ice are quite likely from this first of the season winter storm – even in the metro regions of DC, Philly and NYC. Be prepared for slippery road conditions both tomorrow and tomorrow night as surface temperatures will not get too far above freezing during much of this upcoming event.

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7:00 AM | ***First significant winter weather event of the season on the way***

Paul Dorian

The first winter weather event of the season for the NYC metro region is coming on Thursday and Thursday night as low pressure intensifies along the east coast. This coastal storm may end up impacting the region for an extended period of time from early tomorrow into early Friday as it takes on a “double-barrel” type of structure. At least the latter part of the morning commute could be impacted by this system as precipitation is likely to develop by mid-morning. Some accumulations of snow and ice are likely on the order of a coating to an inch or two in NYC and points south and east, 2-5 inches are possible in the northern and western suburbs. Much more significant snow can fall from this unfolding coastal storm across interior, higher elevation locations of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US.

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11:35 AM | ***First winter storm of the season with some accumulations on the table for the big city metro regions***

Paul Dorian

In what promises to be a cold and snowy winter with a quick start (“2018-2019 Winter Outlook”), the first winter storm of the season for the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US is looking increasingly likely for Thursday/Thursday night as low pressure intensifies along the east coast. This coastal storm may end up impacting the region for an extended period of time from early Thursday into Friday as it takes on a “double-barrel” type of structure near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. Accumulations of snow and ice are quite possible from this early season winter storm – even into the metro regions of DC, Philly and NYC - and significant amounts are likely across interior higher elevation locations of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US.

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7:00 AM | *Snow, ice threat continues on Thursday at the onset of a developing major coastal storm*

Paul Dorian

The threat continues for the first wintry precipitation event on Thursday in the NYC metro region as a major coastal storm gets underway. For today, low pressure will pull away from the Mid-Atlantic coastline and another cold air mass will drop southeastward into the Mid-Atlantic region later tonight and Wednesday. This cold air mass will be anchored by strong high pressure on Thursday morning and it will be reluctant to give up its ground as another storm takes shape near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. As a result of the entrenched cold air mass, there could be snow and ice at the onset; especially, in suburban areas to the north and west of NYC and small accumulations are possible. Any wintry precipitation at the onset should change to mainly rain late on Thursday and that rain can continue into Friday morning as the storm intensifies along the coast. Once this coastal storm pulls away on Friday, another cold air mass will head in our direction for the weekend.

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12:00 PM | **Wintry precipitation threat on Thursday as strong coastal storm develops**

Paul Dorian

Our active and cold weather pattern of recent days will continue through this week and there is the real possibility of some wintry precipitation for the first time this season in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. Moisture associated with a strong coastal storm will arrive in this area on Thursday and cold air will be locked in place and anchored by sprawling high pressure over the Northeast US. As a result, the threat exists in the metro regions of DC, Philly and NYC of sleet, freezing rain and/or snow at the onset of this upcoming late week event with the highest probabilities of something frozen in the northern and western suburbs. Following the passage of the late week storm, yet another cold air mass will drop southeastward from central Canada and into the Mid-Atlantic region during the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Stormy pattern continues with rain from the first and rain or perhaps a wintry mix from the second*

Paul Dorian

Two storms will impact the NYC metro region this week with the first likely to generate all rain from early tonight into Tuesday morning, but the second system could result in a wintry mix in parts of the area at the onset on Thursday. A large area of moisture is pushing northeast today from the southern states and rain will overspread our region early tonight and continue into Tuesday morning. Cold air will follow this system for tomorrow night and Wednesday and will be locked in place when a late week coastal storm gets going. As a result, it could be cold enough for a wintry mix for awhile with this late week storm; primarily, in higher elevation areas north and west of the metro area. Another cold blast is destined to arrive here during the upcoming weekend, but there are signs for a warm up during Thanksgiving week.

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7:00 AM | *Two storms and two Arctic outbreaks to deal with between today and the middle of next week*

Paul Dorian

Another soaking rain event is on the way to the Mid-Atlantic region as low pressure pushes towards the Northeast US today from the southern states. The steadiest and heaviest rain from this system should fall in the late afternoon and evening hours and temperatures will remain well below normal for this time of year. Once this system passes by to the northeast this evening, winds will intensify and cold air will pour in from the northwest - just in time for the weekend. Temperatures on both weekend days should be confined to the 40’s all along the I-95 corridor and the wind will remain a noticeable factor through much of the day on Saturday. On Monday, a large area of moisture will pull out of the Gulf states and heads towards the Northeast US. Rain is likely to arrive here on Monday night and as low pressure intensifies near the Mid-Atlantic coastline on Tuesday, the rain is likely to become heavy at times. Once this system passes by to our northeast early Tuesday night, winds will intensify dramatically and another very cold air mass for this time of year will pour into the region for the mid-week.

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11:30 AM | **An extended stretch of winter-like cold for much of the nation**

Paul Dorian

Much colder-than-normal air has already infiltrated much of the northern US and soon it will extend to the east coast.  This change to colder-than-normal conditions will stick around for awhile as a reinforcing shot of Arctic air will plunge southward into the Northern Plains by early next week and then spread eastward to the east seaboard on Tuesday night and Wednesday.  In terms of precipitation, another soaking rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday with the heaviest and steadiest rain likely to fall during the PM hours.  Once this system passes by to the northeast of here late tomorrow night, winds will intensify and cold air will pour in from the northwest just in time for the weekend. A second storm is likely to pull out of the Gulf states early next week and produce more soaking rain here in the I-95 corridor on Monday night and Tuesday as it intensifies into a powerful system. This system will be followed by very strong - and potentially damaging - NW winds on Tuesday night and Wednesday and the influx of another very cold air mass for this time of year.

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