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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | *Much warmer this weekend after another comfortable day*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure ridging to our north will provide us with another comfortable day here in the NYC metro region. It’ll turn noticeably warmer this weekend, however, as the high pressure system shifts offshore and a low-level flow develops out of the southwest. High temperatures on both weekend days will reach the 80’s and there should be plenty of sunshine around on each day. A cool front will arrive on Monday and it could cause some scattered shower activity late in the day or at night with another comfortable air mass to follow on Tuesday after the frontal passage.

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7:00 AM | *Back to the 80's this weekend after a couple more very nice days*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure ridging to our north will continue to result in rain-free weather around here right through at least the early part of next week. Temperatures and humidity will remain very comfortable for the next couple of days, but it’ll turn noticeably warmer this weekend as the high shifts offshore with highs returning to the 80’s. The tropical scene remains quite active with multiple systems to monitor in coming days across the Atlantic Basin.

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7:00 AM | *Great weather continues in the Mid-Atlantic next few days...warmer this weekend*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure ridging to our north will continue to result in very comfortable conditions around here with plenty of sunshine each day through Friday and no rain. Temperatures will max out today not far from the 70 degree mark and overnight lows may reach the upper 40’s in some outlying suburban locations. The high pressure system responsible for this nice weather will shift off the coast this weekend and that will open the door for warmer air and highs well up into the 80’s again on Saturday, Sunday and Monday. Elsewhere, tropical depression “Imelda” will bring torrential rain to the southeastern part of Texas over the next couple of days and a new tropical storm (“Jerry”) has formed in the central Atlantic. Hurricane Humberto has strengthened into “major” hurricane status (category 3) and will hit the island of Bermuda later tonight with hurricane force winds and heavy rainfall. The Atlantic Basin tropical season will likely remain active through September and into the month of October.

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7:00 AM | *Quite comfortable for the remainder of the week*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure ridging will build into southeastern Canada over the next few days and it will result in very comfortable conditions for the Mid-Atlantic region during the remainder of the week. In addition to the comfortable temperatures and humidity, it’ll stay rain-free in the area right through the remainder of the week. As the high shifts eastward this weekend, it’ll turn warmer again on the backside with temperatures climbing back well into the 80’s after spending the next few days no higher than the 70’s by day and in the 50’s in the overnight hours.

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7:00 AM | *Looks like a nice week in the Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

Much of the week will be rain-free in the Mid-Atlantic region as high pressure to the north dominates the weather scene. We’ll start off quite warm for today with highs near 80 degrees, but it’ll become more comfortable for the next few days as the high builds to our north. On the tropical scene, the system near the Bahamas last week has strengthened into a hurricane (Humberto) and it is likely to move on a track away from the US east coast. Another system in the Atlantic is likely to slowly intensify over the next few days as it continues on a track to the NW and probably to the northeast of the Caribbean Sea.

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7:00 AM | *Much cooler today following frontal passage...an active tropical scene*

Paul Dorian

A cool front passed through the area last night and strong high pressure to our north will take control of the weather today and help to keep temperatures confined to much cooler levels in the lower 70's for afternoon highs. It’ll turn warmer on Saturday as the front turns around and moves north as a warm front and there can be some shower and thunderstorm activity as a result. High pressure will then build back into the region and Sunday and much of next week looks rain-free with high pressure in control. Meanwhile, the tropical scene remains quite active today with multiple systems to monitor. One system over the Bahamas this morning is likely to strengthen as it heads slowly towards Florida over the next couple of days and a batch of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico may organize as it moves westward. In addition, two tropical waves now exist in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and the front running system will likely push into the eastern Caribbean Sea in several days and will have to be closely watched.

One final note, this happens to be Friday the 13th and only about 1% of full moons fall on a Friday the 13th. This one is even rarer as it is occurring near apogee, the farthest point in the moon's orbit. This hasn't happened since 1832 and won't happen again for more than 500 years.

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7:00 AM | *Cool front brings the showers and a possible thunderstorm...much cooler on Friday, but warm up is only temporary*

Paul Dorian

A cool front will drift towards the region later today raising the chance for afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms and then it’ll turn cooler late tonight following its passage. We’ll be much cooler on Friday with highs confined to the lower 70’s, but the cool down will only be temporary. We’ll climb back to the 80’s later this weekend and it looks like it’ll stay pretty warm for much of next week as well. On the active tropical scene, one system is likely to enter the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and it’ll produce some locally heavy rain and gusty winds in the Bahamas and Florida on its way to that location. There is a second tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic and it may become a threat to the Caribbean/Bahamas/SE US in a week to ten days or so.

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7:00 AM | *Much warmer today with highs well up in the 80's...an increasing chance for showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure has moved offshore and this will allow for a warmup that will bring high temperatures into the mid-to-upper 80's this afternoon and to the lower 80's on Thursday. A cool front will drift towards the region over the next day or so raising the chance for showers and thunderstorms; especially, during the PM hours It’ll turn cooler on Friday following the frontal passage and then the weekend turns warmer again with somewhat unsettled conditions. On the tropical scene, there are three different waves lined up in the Atlantic right now as we arrive at the climatological peak of the tropical season. The first system should head to the Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend and will have to be monitored, the second wave has little chance of survival, and the third wave may very well become an important issue for the SE US/Gulf of Mexico region in about ten days or so...stay tuned.

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7:00 AM | *Much warmer again on Wednesday and Thursday...cooler on Friday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will move offshore later today and this will allow for a mid-week warmup that will bring afternoon highs closer to the 90 degree mark. A cool front will drift towards the region over the next couple of days raising the chance for showers and thunderstorms; especially, on Thursday afternoon. It’ll turn cooler at the end of the week following the frontal passage and high pressure will build back into the region. On the tropical scene, there are three different waves to monitor as we arrive at the climatological peak in the Atlantic Basin tropical season, but no imminent threat to the Mid-Atlantic.

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1:00 PM | *Atlantic Basin tropical season far from over*

Paul Dorian

The eye of Hurricane Dorian passed over Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, earlier today which makes it the the first (and only) landfall by this storm on the US mainland.  It made landfall on the Outer Banks as a category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds at 90 mph and is the first landfall by a hurricane in North Carolina since Arthur in 2014.  The storm has begun an acceleration to the northeast in recent hours as it is increasingly being influenced by an approaching upper-level trough.  There is still some impact being felt in coastal sections of the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England where heavy rain bands are rotating around Hurricane Dorian.

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