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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: Weather Alerts

10:00 AM (Friday) | **Strong-to-severe thunderstorm threat later today/early tonight…strong winds late tonight and Saturday will follow the passage of a strong cold frontal system**

Paul Dorian

There will be numerous bands of showers and thunderstorms today in the Mid-Atlantic as the combination of strong surface low pressure, a warm front and a cold front impacts the region.  One line of storms in particular could reach the I-95 corridor region later in the afternoon and early evening hours with strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity and any these cells can produce damaging wind gusts, hail and flooding rainfall.  Following the passage of the cold front, temperatures will drop dramatically in the overnight hours and winds will become very strong from a northwesterly direction.  The strong winds will continue on Saturday to go along with cooler conditions and partly-to-mainly sunny skies.

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11:15 AM (Thursday) | ***Heavy rain and severe weather threat later today and tonight greatest in the Deep South…threat shifts to the east coast late tomorrow and tomorrow night***

Paul Dorian

Deep upper-level low pressure will intensify over the next 24 hours as it slowly grinds its way across the southern states.  The combination of this strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere and an influx of very moist tropical air will result in a severe weather threat later today and tonight in the Deep South.  In addition to the severe weather threat which includes the potential for hail and isolated tornadoes, heavy rainfall is likely later today in the southern states and localized flooding is a concern as grounds are well saturated.  The threat for heavy rainfall and severe weather will shift to the eastern seaboard late tomorrow and tomorrow night with the possibility of strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity extending from the Mid-Atlantic region to Florida.

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12:45 PM | ***Significant weather event next few days to include heavy rain and severe thunderstorms***

Paul Dorian

Deep upper-level low pressure will intensify over the next couple of days as it slowly grinds its way across the southern states.  The combination of this strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere and an influx of very moist low-level air will result in a severe weather threat today in the region from Texas-to-Kansas and later tomorrow across Mississippi, Alabama and perhaps as far north as Tennessee.  In addition to the severe weather threat which includes the potential for large hail and tornadoes, heavy rainfall is likely later today in the south-central states and then on Thursday across the southeastern US.  Any heavy rainfall can result in localized flooding as much of the eastern half of the nation is experiencing well-saturated ground conditions. The heavy rainfall and severe weather threat will reach the eastern seaboard on Friday afternoon and evening with the possibility of strong-to-severe thunderstorms from the Mid-Atlantic region to Florida.

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2:30 PM | *Major spring snowstorm unfolding for the corridor from Denver to Minneapolis*

Paul Dorian

Yesterday at this time temperatures were in the 70’s across the Denver metro region and today they’re in the 30’s, a blizzard warning is in effect and the game between the Rockies and Braves has been called off hours ahead of time.  A major storm will bring a variety of impacts to the Rockies, central and northern Plains from later today into Thursday that will include heavy snowfall, whiteout conditions, and wind gusts as high as 60 mph.  The bullseye region for this springtime blizzard will extend from northeastern Colorado-to-central Minnesota and some spots in this corridor can see accumulations of 1-2 feet during this upcoming event.

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2:20 PM | *Powerful spring snowstorm on the way from the Rockies to the Northern Plains*

Paul Dorian

A major storm will bring a variety of impacts to the Rockies, central and northern Plains from later tomorrow into Thursday that will include heavy snowfall, whiteout conditions, and winds as high as 60 mph.  The bullseye region for this springtime blizzard will likely extend from northeastern Colorado-to-central Minnesota and some spots in this corridor can see accumulations of 1-2 feet during this upcoming event.

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9:50 AM | **Powerhouse storm in nation’s midsection to have wide ranging impacts**

Paul Dorian

All the ingredients are coming together for rapid intensification today of low pressure as it pulls out of Colorado and moves into western Kansas.  In fact, the central barometric pressure of this intensifying low pressure system could bottom out near 28.67 inches later today and some spots may very well reach record low levels; especially, across Colorado and Kansas.  The combination of a strong “negatively-tilted” wave of energy in the upper atmosphere, sharp low-level temperature gradient, and powerful jet streaks in the atmosphere will help generate this powerhouse storm system that will have wide ranging impacts from blizzard conditions to its north and west to extreme winds and potential severe thunderstorms on its south and east side. 

Wind gusts are likely to surpass hurricane-force levels later today in a wide part of the nation from New Mexico/Texas to southern Nebraska and perhaps even to 90+ mph in places like Colorado and Kansas. These extreme wind gusts are unfortunately likely to result in widespread power outages, downed or damaged trees and very difficult travel conditions. Blizzard warnings have been posted all the way from Colorado to Minnesota/North Dakota for the expected heavy snowfall and extremely strong winds.

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1:30 PM | *Severe weather threat on Saturday in portions of the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys to include potential tornadoes*

Paul Dorian

Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley: A classic pattern for severe weather in March is setting up for Saturday in the Mississippi Valley and potentially the Ohio Valley with cold, Arctic air to the north and west and warm, humid air to the south and east.  In this “battle zone” region, severe thunderstorms are likely to break out on Saturday across portions of Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama and this threat includes large hail and perhaps a few tornadoes. There is also a chance this severe weather threat on Saturday extends as far north as the Ohio Valley region including southern Illinois, southern Indiana and western Kentucky. Strong low pressure will head northeast on Saturday towards the Great Lakes and strong upper-level energy will support the outbreak of severe weather in the Mississippi Valley and perhaps as far north as the Ohio Valley.

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7:00 AM | ****Potentially damaging wind gusts today up to 60 mph in the Mid-Atlantic region****

Paul Dorian

Mid-Atlantic: A powerful storm over southeastern Canada is combining with strong high pressure over the Upper Midwest to create a tight pressure gradient field and this is leading to high winds gusts across the Mid-Atlantic. Winds can gust into the 50-60 mph range today, but will begin to diminish later tonight as high pressure edges closer to the region. The air mass is quite chilly as we begin the new work week and it’ll feel much colder with the strong winds. After a calmer and sunny day on Tuesday, a couple of weak disturbances could throw some clouds our way at mid-week and perhaps a few snow or rain showers.

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10:30 AM (Saturday) | ***Explosive intensification of low pressure to have major ramifications across a wide part of the nation including potentially damaging wind gusts in the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US/Midwest: A storm that has already been a news making event in the Southwest US for its unusual snowfall will undergo explosive intensification this weekend and continue to make news as it’ll have major ramifications across much of the rest of the nation.  Low pressure is heading northeastward today from the southern Plains and towards the Great Lakes and it will generate blizzard conditions all along the way.  This system has the potential to strengthen over a 36-hour period from around 999 millibars this morning to near 971 millibars by late Sunday and it can result in monthly record low pressure readings in parts of the Great Lakes region.

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11:45 AM | ***Explosive intensification of low pressure this weekend to have major ramifications including a blizzard in the Great Lakes and potentially damaging wind gusts in the Mid-Atlantic***

Paul Dorian

Mid-Atlantic/Midwest/Northeast US: A storm that has already been a news making event in the Southwest US for its unusual snowfall will undergo explosive intensification this weekend and continue to make news as it’ll have major ramifications across much of the rest of the nation.  Low pressure will pull out of the Southwest US early Saturday and begin to rapidly intensify as it starts a push to the northeast and towards the Great Lakes region where it will become an all-out blizzard. This system has the potential to strengthen over a 36-hour period from around 995 millibars (29.38 inches) early Saturday morning to near 973 millibars (28.73 inches) by late Sunday and it can ultimately result in monthly record low pressure readings in the Great Lakes region.

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